Signals
The world, priced in real time.
Live prediction-market readings across the venues desks watch — the raw material the causal layer turns into defensible decisions.
Live · polymarket + kalshi · fetched 12:35 UTC
market · dot size = 24h volume top movers · 1-dayx-axis · probability of yes
Source: Polymarket Gamma API · Kalshi public market data · refreshed every 5 minutes · a dot’s position is the market’s price for yes · sports & entertainment filtered out — desks only.
From price to decision
A price tells you what the crowd believes. It doesn’t tell you what moves if you act. Cascadian is the causal layer between these numbers and a defensible decision.